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Ask HN: Do older programmers/CS academics view AI safety as a form of arrogance?

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Add significant algorithmic improvements every ~5 years to that equation and suddenly god-like AI seems like it's probably reasonably close.The only question to ask then is what happens after you've created all these super-human AIs. And here I'm much less certain, but I see so many low probability risks in an ASI world that I'd bet everything on one of those bad things happening relatively soon after such AIs exist.

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Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand

Not sure what you're defining as an "older programer", but I've been coding for 20 years at this point and have been an AI doomer since around 2010, and hardcore AI doomer since 2015-2016ish...I often wonder why I am so confident in my prediction of AI doom despite other intelligent people not being as convinced, and honestly I think it's just that I've been working with AI and building neural networks at a low level for well over decade.I'm far from an expert when it comes to the frontier, but I feel like I have had to developed a strong intuition for these systems because it used to be fucking hard to get AI to do anything useful, but what you find is that the bottlenecks are literally always the same – compute, data and timeAlgorithms matter, but mostly just because of efficiency.For…

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