Dynamic TMoE: A Drift-Aware Dynamic Mixture of Experts Framework for Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting
The article presents Dynamic TMoE, a new framework designed for non-stationary time series forecasting. This framework addresses the limitations of existing Mixture-of-Experts models by allowing for dynamic adaptation to distribution shifts. Experiments show that Dynamic TMoE achieves state-of-the-art performance, significantly reducing forecasting errors.
- ▪Dynamic TMoE is a framework that combines architectural evolution with temporal continuity during the learning phase.
- ▪It detects distribution shifts using Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) and dynamically adjusts expert pools.
- ▪The framework has been tested on nine benchmarks, resulting in a 10.4% reduction in MSE and a 7.8% reduction in MAE.
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| Original publisher | arXiv cs.AI |
| Canonical URL | https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.20678 |
| Publication time | Fri, 22 May 2026 00:00:00 -0400 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-05-22T04:02:00.009Z |
| Last seen | 2026-05-22T04:02:00.009Z |
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| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
Basis: Derived from the published RSS/Atom feed. Contact: [email protected]. Reviewed: 2026-07-24.
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Computer Science > Machine Learning arXiv:2605.20678 (cs) [Submitted on 20 May 2026] Title:Dynamic TMoE: A Drift-Aware Dynamic Mixture of Experts Framework for Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting Authors:Jiawen Zhu, Shuhan Liu, Di Weng, Yingcai Wu View a PDF of the paper titled Dynamic TMoE: A Drift-Aware Dynamic Mixture of Experts Framework for Non-Stationary Time Series Forecasting, by Jiawen Zhu and 3 other authors View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract:Non-stationary time series forecasting is challenged by evolving distribution shifts that static models struggle to capture.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at arXiv cs.AI.