Massie Loses Primary Race After Betting Odds Favored Him For Weeks
Rep. Thomas Massie lost his primary race to Trump-backed Ed Gallrein after being favored for much of the campaign. Betting odds shifted dramatically against Massie shortly after polls closed, marking a significant turnaround. The race became the most expensive House primary recorded, with nearly $33 million spent.
- ▪Gallrein had 99.5% odds shortly after polls closed, while Massie's odds had been above 40% just minutes after.
- ▪Massie's odds were as high as 78% less than two weeks before the primary.
- ▪Trump endorsed Gallrein and criticized Massie multiple times in the days leading up to the election.
2 outlets in our directory ran this story. All of the coverage we found sits in one bucket: right. That one-sidedness is itself worth noticing.
- ▪ BREAKING: Thomas Massie Loses His Primary Race — PJ Media
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| Original publisher | Forbes — Business |
| Canonical URL | https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoniopequenoiv/2026/05/19/massie-loses-primary-race-after-betting-odds-favored-him-for-weeks/ |
| Publication time | Tue, 19 May 2026 20:13:21 -0400 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-05-20T00:34:58.818Z |
| Last seen | 2026-05-20T00:34:58.818Z |
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Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
BreakingBusinessMassie Loses Primary Race After Betting Odds Favored Him For WeeksByAntonio Pequeño IV,Forbes Staff. Pequeño is a breaking news reporter who covers tech and more.Follow AuthorMay 19, 2026, 08:13pm EDTToplineElection betting odds sharply swung away from Rep. Thomas Massie, R-Ky., not long after polls closed for his congressional district’s primary Tuesday, marking a massive reversal for the incumbent who lost the race after being favored for much of the campaign to win it over Trump-backed former Navy Seal Ed Gallrein.Massie is one of the GOP's most outspoken critics of President Donald Trump. (Photo by Heather Diehl/Getty Images)Key FactsGallrein had 99.5% odds, Kalshi showed shortly after 7:45 p.m.
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