Matthew Stafford’s MVP season was fueled by massive ‘luck cushion’ — what it means for 2026
Matthew Stafford's MVP season in 2025 was significantly influenced by an unusual amount of turnover luck, according to a study by Pro Football Focus. The analysis revealed that Stafford had the highest positive interception variance in the league, suggesting that his performance may not be sustainable. As the Rams face a challenging schedule in 2026, the potential for regression in Stafford's turnover luck could impact their Super Bowl aspirations.
- ▪Matthew Stafford won the MVP award in 2025, leading the Rams back into Super Bowl contention.
- ▪Pro Football Focus reported that Stafford had the largest positive interception variance in the NFL at +6.8.
- ▪The Rams are projected to have the fifth-hardest schedule in 2026, which includes matchups against top teams like the Bills and Chiefs.
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| Original publisher | California Post |
| Canonical URL | https://nypost.com/2026/05/28/sports/staffords-luck-cushion-what-it-means-for-the-2026-rams/ |
| Publication time | Thu, 28 May 2026 19:21:55 -0400 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-05-28T23:24:38.350Z |
| Last seen | 2026-05-28T23:28:35.496Z |
| Headline source | Publisher (no WeSearch rewrite) |
| Excerpt source | publisher body |
| Excerpt method | First ~120 words (~800 chars) of extracted publisher body, fair-use limited. |
| Summary | WeSearch · cerebras-chat (WeSearch summarizer) |
| Summary source text | contentText |
| Citation coverage | Summary is a WeSearch-generated derivative; primary citation is the original publisher URL. |
| Cluster | APYTeoP41ddg |
| Cluster logic | Grouped by semantic title/content similarity across sources within a rolling window. Same-publisher template collisions are excluded from coverage comparison. |
| Ranking reason | Story pages are not engagement-ranked. Hub feeds use recency, with optional source-diversified chronological ordering (cap consecutive stories per source). No personalized ranking. |
| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
| Substitutes article? | No — link-out required for full text |
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| Indexing | May the item be indexed (stored, ranked, made findable)? | Allowed |
| Snippet | May a short excerpt of the publisher's text be shown? | Allowed |
| AI summary | May WeSearch generate its own short summary of the article? | Limited |
| Retrieval / RAG | May the content be exposed for third-party retrieval-augmented generation? | Not asserted |
| Model training | May the content be used to train AI models? | Not asserted |
| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
Basis: Derived from the published RSS/Atom feed. Contact: [email protected]. Reviewed: 2026-07-24.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
NFL Matthew Stafford’s MVP season was fueled by massive ‘luck cushion’ — what it means for 2026 By Ryan Anderson Published May 28, 2026, 7:21 p.m. ET See more of our coverage in your search results. Add The California Post on Google Matthew Stafford’s brilliant 2025 campaign secured him his first MVP award and pushed the Los Angeles Rams back into the Super Bowl conversation, but a new study from Pro Football Focus suggests the veteran quarterback may have been riding the NFL’s biggest wave of turnover luck. According to PFF’s “net luck” model, Stafford posted the largest positive interception variance in football at +6.8 — a staggering 2.3 points ahead of the next closest quarterback, Titans’ Cam Ward.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at California Post.