PMI And The Yield Curve Correlation
The article discusses the correlation between the Manufacturing PMI and the yield curve, specifically the 10-year minus 3-month Treasury. Both indicators peaked in late 2021 and remained negative for nearly three years until December 2025, when they began to show positive signals. This correlation suggests a relationship between manufacturing activity and investor sentiment in the economy.
- ▪The Manufacturing PMI and the yield curve have shown a significant correlation.
- ▪Both indicators peaked in late 2021 and remained negative until December 2025.
- ▪Since December 2025, both the yield curve and manufacturing have indicated positive economic signals.
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| Original publisher | All Articles on Seeking Alpha |
| Canonical URL | https://seekingalpha.com/article/4908049-pmi-yield-curve-correlation?source=feed_all_articles |
| Publication time | Fri, 22 May 2026 12:20:00 -0400 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-05-22T16:27:02.421Z |
| Last seen | 2026-05-22T16:48:21.431Z |
| Headline source | Publisher (no WeSearch rewrite) |
| Excerpt source | publisher body |
| Excerpt method | First ~120 words (~800 chars) of extracted publisher body, fair-use limited. |
| Summary | WeSearch · cerebras-chat (WeSearch summarizer) |
| Summary source text | contentText |
| Citation coverage | Summary is a WeSearch-generated derivative; primary citation is the original publisher URL. |
| Cluster | k-28uBUNnEQd |
| Cluster logic | Grouped by semantic title/content similarity across sources within a rolling window. Same-publisher template collisions are excluded from coverage comparison. |
| Ranking reason | Story pages are not engagement-ranked. Hub feeds use recency, with optional source-diversified chronological ordering (cap consecutive stories per source). No personalized ranking. |
| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
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| AI summary | May WeSearch generate its own short summary of the article? | Limited |
| Retrieval / RAG | May the content be exposed for third-party retrieval-augmented generation? | Not asserted |
| Model training | May the content be used to train AI models? | Not asserted |
| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
Basis: Derived from the published RSS/Atom feed. Contact: [email protected]. Reviewed: 2026-07-24.
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