Sleeping Beauty and Observer Multiplicity
The manuscript presents a new framework for understanding the Sleeping Beauty problem by differentiating between world-level probability and self-locating uncertainty. It argues that observer multiplicity affects how observers are indexed within a world without changing the underlying probabilities of events. This work aims to contribute to discussions in probability theory and self-locating belief.
- ▪The framework separates world-level probability from conditional self-locating uncertainty.
- ▪Observer multiplicity introduces asymmetries in self-locating beliefs without altering the probability mass of events.
- ▪Repeated awakenings influence observer-frequency and decision-making but do not modify the underlying world probability.
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Story provenance
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Record
| Original publisher | Zenodo |
| Canonical URL | https://zenodo.org/records/20145027 |
| Publication time | Sat, 23 May 2026 15:50:26 +0000 |
| Retrieval time | 2026-05-23T16:07:27.528Z |
| Last seen | 2026-05-23T16:07:27.528Z |
| Headline source | Publisher (no WeSearch rewrite) |
| Excerpt source | publisher body |
| Excerpt method | First ~120 words (~800 chars) of extracted publisher body, fair-use limited. |
| Summary | WeSearch · cerebras-chat (WeSearch summarizer) |
| Summary source text | contentText |
| Citation coverage | Summary is a WeSearch-generated derivative; primary citation is the original publisher URL. |
| Cluster | Ozs5j9w-YocJ |
| Cluster logic | Grouped by semantic title/content similarity across sources within a rolling window. Same-publisher template collisions are excluded from coverage comparison. |
| Ranking reason | Story pages are not engagement-ranked. Hub feeds use recency, with optional source-diversified chronological ordering (cap consecutive stories per source). No personalized ranking. |
| Publisher visit | Yes — open original |
| Substitutes article? | No — link-out required for full text |
Rights status (four layers)
WeSearch handling by dimension
| Indexing | May the item be indexed (stored, ranked, made findable)? | Allowed |
| Snippet | May a short excerpt of the publisher's text be shown? | Allowed |
| AI summary | May WeSearch generate its own short summary of the article? | Limited |
| Retrieval / RAG | May the content be exposed for third-party retrieval-augmented generation? | Not asserted |
| Model training | May the content be used to train AI models? | Not asserted |
| Commercial reuse | May the content be reused commercially? | Not permitted |
Basis: Derived from the published RSS/Atom feed. Contact: [email protected]. Reviewed: 2026-07-24.
Opening excerpt (first ~120 words) tap to expand
Published May 13, 2026 | Version 1.0 Preprint Open World Probability, Observer Frequency, and Self-Locating Uncertainty in the Sleeping Beauty Problem Authors/Creators Pothuri, Avaneesh Description This manuscript develops a conceptual framework for analyzing the Sleeping Beauty problem by clearly separating world-level probability from conditional self-locating uncertainty. The central claim is that observer multiplicity introduces self-locating and experiential asymmetries without altering the underlying probability mass of the world-generating event itself. In this view, repeated awakenings do not redistribute probability across possible worlds; instead, they affect how an observer is indexed within a given world.
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Excerpt limited to ~120 words for fair-use compliance. The full article is at Zenodo.